Nordic Explorer
Green aurora curtain over Levi, Kittilä, Lapland, Finland, 2023 September

Photo: Ximonic (Simo Räsänen), CC BY-SA 4.0

Aurora tonight across the Nordics

10 in Finland, 8 in Norway, 4 in Sweden and 4 in Iceland: 26 places, each answered from the same four inputs: how disturbed the magnetic field is, how much cloud is forecast over the dark hours, when it actually gets dark, and where the moon is. Every number below says when it was read.

Best places to see the northern lights Every place ranked by tonight's chance, and how they compare through the season. Northern lights in Finland: when and where to go Planning a trip rather than tonight? The season at each latitude, which places give the best odds, how to read Kp and the cloud forecast, and the camera settings that work.

Northern lights this week

NOAA's outlook for the next seven days peaks at Kp 5 on Tue Nov 17.

Fri 13Kp 2
Sat 14Kp 2
Sun 15Kp 2
Mon 16Kp 3
Tue 17Kp 5
Wed 18Kp 5
Thu 19Kp 3

This is NOAA's 27-day outlook, a planning guide issued Nov 9. It gives the largest Kp of each day, not tonight's sky; tonight's verdict uses the live readings and the cloud forecast.

NOAA SWPC, 27-day outlook,

Right now, everywhere

Kp index
0.67 — estimated, one-minute cadence NOAA SWPC,
Forecast tonight
Kp 1.33 from 11:00 Finnish time
Kp 1.33 from 14:00 Finnish time
Kp 1.67 from 17:00 Finnish time
Kp 1.67 from 20:00 Finnish time
Kp 1.33 from 23:00 Finnish time
Kp 1.67 from 02:00 Finnish time
NOAA SWPC three-day forecast, issued
Magnetometers
9 FMI stations reporting, from Hankasalmi to Kevo FMI,

Where the chance is best tonight

# Place Tonight Dark, local time Clearest hour
1 Svalbard Norway Possible Kp 0.67 17:48–05:40 0%
2 North Cape Norway Possible Kp 0.67 17:12–04:52 0%
3 Alta Norway Possible Kp 0.67 17:24–05:02 0%
4 Kilpisjärvi Lapland Possible Kp 0.67 18:34–06:10 3%
5 Tromsø Norway Possible Kp 0.67 17:42–05:18 7%
6 Utsjoki Lapland Possible Kp 0.67 18:10–05:46 13%
7 Senja Norway Possible Kp 0.67 17:46–05:22 14%
8 Kirkenes Norway Possible Kp 0.67 16:58–04:34 29%
9 Lofoten Norway Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 18:00–05:34 1%
10 Narvik Norway Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 17:48–05:24 5%
11 Abisko Sweden Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 17:44–05:18 16%
12 Vík Iceland Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 19:18–06:46 26%
13 Reykjavík Iceland Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 19:30–06:58 43%
14 Jokkmokk Sweden Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 17:40–05:12 50%
15 Helsinki Uusimaa Unlikely quiet field, Kp 0.67 18:24–05:48 69%
16 Kiruna Sweden Clouded out 78% cloud at best 17:38–05:12 78%
17 Þingvellir Iceland Clouded out 79% cloud at best 19:26–06:54 79%
18 Akureyri Iceland Clouded out 80% cloud at best 19:12–06:44 80%
19 Luleå Sweden Clouded out 98% cloud at best 17:32–05:02 98%
20 Inari Lapland Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:10–05:46 100%
21 Saariselkä and Ivalo Lapland Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:08–05:44 100%
22 Levi Lapland Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:20–05:54 100%
23 Ylläs Lapland Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:22–05:56 100%
24 Pyhä Lapland Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:10–05:44 100%
25 Rovaniemi Lapland Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:18–05:48 100%
26 Ruka Northern Ostrobothnia Clouded out 100% cloud at best 18:04–05:34 100%

Checked against NOAA SWPC, FMI and MET Norway. Ranked by tonight's verdict at each place, then by the clearest hour of its dark window. Each place's page has the evidence and an alert for that place.

Aurora forecast for the next three nights

PlaceKp neededTonightFri 13 NovSaturday nightSat 14 NovSunday nightSun 15 Nov
SvalbardNorwayneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
North CapeNorwayneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 91%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
AltaNorwayneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 62%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
UtsjokiLaplandneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 13%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 1%PossibleKp 1.67 until 02:00
KirkenesNorwayneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 29%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 54%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
TromsøNorwayneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 7%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
SenjaNorwayneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 14%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
KilpisjärviLaplandneeds any Kpany KpPossibleKp 1.67, cloud 3%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 02:00
InariLaplandneeds Kp 1Kp 1Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 1%PossibleKp 1.67 until 02:00
NarvikNorwayneeds Kp 1Kp 1UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 5%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
Saariselkä and IvaloLaplandneeds Kp 1Kp 1Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 4%PossibleKp 1.67 until 02:00
AbiskoSwedenneeds Kp 1Kp 1UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 16%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
LofotenNorwayneeds Kp 1Kp 1UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 1%Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 90%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
KirunaSwedenneeds Kp 1Kp 1Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 78%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 1%PossibleKp 1.67 until 01:00
LeviLaplandneeds Kp 1Kp 1Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 02:00
YlläsLaplandneeds Kp 1Kp 1Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%PossibleKp 1.67, cloud 0%PossibleKp 1.67 until 02:00
PyhäLaplandneeds Kp 2Kp 2Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 0%UnlikelyKp 1.67 until 02:00
JokkmokkSwedenneeds Kp 2Kp 2UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 50%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 0%UnlikelyKp 1.67 until 01:00
RovaniemiLaplandneeds Kp 2Kp 2Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 0%UnlikelyKp 1.67 until 02:00
RukaNorthern Ostrobothnianeeds Kp 2Kp 2Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 100%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 10%UnlikelyKp 1.67 until 02:00
AkureyriIcelandneeds Kp 2Kp 2Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 80%Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 76%Not knownnot forecast yet
LuleåSwedenneeds Kp 3Kp 3Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 98%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 0%UnlikelyKp 1.67 until 01:00
ÞingvellirIcelandneeds Kp 2Kp 2Clouded outKp 1.67, cloud 79%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 1%Not knownnot forecast yet
ReykjavíkIcelandneeds Kp 2Kp 2UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 43%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 2%Not knownnot forecast yet
VíkIcelandneeds Kp 2Kp 2UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 26%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 1%Not knownnot forecast yet
HelsinkiUusimaaneeds Kp 6Kp 6UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 69%UnlikelyKp 1.67, cloud 0%UnlikelyKp 1.67 until 02:00

Checked . Kp from the NOAA SWPC three-day forecast, issued ; cloud from FMI's HARMONIE model in Finland and MET Norway's Locationforecast elsewhere. Tonight's column is each place's live verdict; the nights after rest on the forecasts alone.

Where can you see the northern lights tonight?

The 26 places by country, north to south. Each verdict checked , against NOAA SWPC, FMI and MET Norway.

Finland: Utsjoki, Kilpisjärvi, Inari, Saariselkä and Ivalo, Levi, Ylläs, Pyhä, Rovaniemi, Ruka and Helsinki

Norway: Svalbard, North Cape, Alta, Kirkenes, Tromsø, Senja, Narvik and Lofoten

The same verdict, with the cloud from MET Norway's Locationforecast.

Sweden: Abisko, Kiruna, Jokkmokk and Luleå

The same verdict, with the cloud from MET Norway's Locationforecast.

Iceland: Akureyri, Þingvellir, Reykjavík and Vík

The same verdict, with the cloud from MET Norway's Locationforecast.

How the verdict is worked out

Four inputs, in the order they can rule the night out.

  1. Darkness. Computed here from the date and the coordinates, with no external data needed, so it never fails and never disagrees with the band above it. The aurora needs the sun more than 18° below the horizon. In Lapland that condition does not exist between late May and early August at all, which is why a page can say "too light" in July with total confidence.
  2. Cloud. FMI's HARMONIE model in Finland and MET Norway's Locationforecast in Norway, Sweden and Iceland, hourly, at each place's exact coordinates rather than at the nearest town. We take the best hour inside the dark window, because one clear hour is enough and an average is not.
  3. Geomagnetic activity. The NOAA Kp index and the OVATION overhead probability, plus the rate of change of the horizontal magnetic field at the nearest FMI magnetometer, if one is within 120 km. The last of those is the local one, and the one most aurora forecasts leave out. Svalbard, North Cape, Narvik, Lofoten, Kiruna, Pyhä, Jokkmokk, Ruka, Akureyri, Luleå, Þingvellir, Reykjavík, Vík and Helsinki have none that close in FMI's open data, so their verdicts rest on Kp and OVATION.
  4. The moon. Phase, illuminated fraction and altitude at the start of the dark window. A bright moon does not stop the aurora, it removes the faint end of it, so it is a caveat on the verdict rather than part of it.

When a feed does not answer, the page keeps the last reading and its real age, and says how old it is. When there is nothing to keep, the verdict says we could not check — it does not fall back to "clear skies". A page here with no answer is never a green one.

Every source, with its licence.